Yes
I do.
No
I don’t.
President Donald Trump is heading toward one of the biggest political tests of his second term as Americans prepare to vote in the 2026 midterm elections.
While Trump himself will not be on the ballot, the results could have enormous consequences for his presidency. Control of Congress will determine whether Republicans can continue advancing the president’s agenda or whether Democrats gain enough power to challenge, delay or block major parts of it.
Democrats are hoping dissatisfaction among some voters will translate into victories in key House and Senate races. They are also counting on the historical tendency for the president’s party to face difficulties during midterm elections.
Republicans, however, have reasons to believe history does not necessarily have to repeat itself.
Trump remains the dominant figure in the Republican Party, and his ability to motivate supporters has transformed American politics over the past decade. Republicans will be looking for strong turnout from voters concerned about immigration, taxes, government spending, crime, the economy and America’s position on the world stage.
Much could depend on what happens between now and Election Day.
The economy will almost certainly play a major role. Americans will be looking at everyday expenses, jobs, retirement savings, energy costs and whether they believe their families are financially better off. Foreign policy developments and controversies in Washington could also influence voters.
Then there is Trump himself. Few presidents in modern American history have generated such intense enthusiasm among supporters while provoking equally determined opposition from political opponents.
A strong Republican performance would give Trump additional momentum and could make it easier for his administration to pursue its priorities during the second half of his term. Democratic victories, particularly if they result in a change of congressional control, could dramatically alter the political landscape in Washington.
That makes the midterms about considerably more than individual candidates. For many voters, they will also represent a national judgment on the direction of the country under President Trump.
Democrats believe the political environment could turn against Trump and the Republican Party.
Trump supporters are hoping voters will deliver a very different message.
What do you think will happen? Do you agree with Democrats who predict Trump and Republicans will lose ground in the midterm elections?