California Governor Gavin Newsom is suddenly being celebrated by the liberal media after a new Emerson College poll showed him nearly tied with Vice President JD Vance in a hypothetical 2028 presidential matchup. But behind the flashy headlines, the numbers tell a very different story — and conservatives see right through it.
The Poll Liberals Don’t Want You to Read Closely
The poll found 46% of voters backing Vance and 45% supporting Newsom — a razor-thin one-point difference. But with a ±3-point margin of error, the race is effectively unchanged.
In previous Emerson polls, Vance led by larger margins:
- July: Vance 45% – Newsom 42%
- August: Vance 44.4% – Newsom 43.5%
- October: Vance 46% – Newsom 45%
So while left-leaning outlets spin this as “momentum” for Newsom, the truth is that Vance’s support remains steady and strong among working-class voters, veterans, and older Americans — the same groups that powered President Trump’s America First movement.
Newsom’s Not-So-Subtle 2028 Ambitions
Although he claims he’s “not thinking about running,” Newsom has been crisscrossing the country, bashing President Trump, attacking conservative governors, and copying Trump’s social media style to attract attention.
He’s also quietly leading Democrat redistricting efforts in California to secure long-term power for his party — a move critics say proves he’s already running a shadow campaign for higher office.
The media loves to portray Newsom as the “anti-Trump,” but voters remember his California record of skyrocketing taxes, rampant homelessness, and rising crime. The same failed policies he pushed in California are now being packaged for the national stage.
Vance: The Steady Conservative Leader America Trusts
Meanwhile, Vice President JD Vance continues to rise in national prominence. A combat veteran and self-made conservative, Vance has earned the trust of everyday Americans who want strong borders, lower costs, and respect for traditional values.
Vance told reporters he’s focused on “doing a good job for the American people,” but insiders see him as the natural successor to the MAGA movement.
Even President Trump praised Vance’s leadership, saying:
“He’s the vice president, and he’s doing a great job. He would probably be favored at this point.”
That kind of endorsement from Trump carries enormous weight — especially with conservative voters 50 and older, who have consistently turned out in record numbers to defend America’s founding principles.
Reality Check: Polls Don’t Decide Elections — People Do
Emerson’s polling chief admitted the race remains deeply polarized, meaning most Americans have already chosen a side. With the economy, inflation, and border security dominating voter concerns, Democrats face an uphill climb convincing working families to trust their failed leadership again.
And let’s not forget — presidential elections aren’t decided by national polls, but by the Electoral College. Even if Newsom managed to tie nationally, his far-left California record would alienate swing states across the Midwest and South.
Bottom Line: The Trump–Vance Ticket Still Rules the GOP
For all the media hype, this poll changes nothing. JD Vance remains the front-runner for the future of the conservative movement, and the Trump–Vance team continues to represent strength, stability, and real American values.
Newsom might win headlines, but JD Vance — like Trump — continues to win the hearts of the American people.