

Yes
It will.

No
It won’t.
With the Iran conflict driving up oil prices, shaking markets, and dividing public opinion, political consequences may be looming. Some reports suggest growing voter concern over economic fallout and prolonged military engagement, with nearly 60% opposing the war effort. Democrats are already framing the conflict as a liability for Republicans heading into the midterms—but others believe strong leadership in foreign policy could energize the base. Will this conflict hurt Republicans at the ballot box, or strengthen their position?