President Donald Trump’s approval rating is under attack in seven battleground states he won in 2024, according to a new round of liberal polling data that Democrats are already using to fuel their hopes for 2026.
Pollsters Claim Trouble for Trump
A left-wing analyst, G. Elliott Morris, claims that Trump’s approval is “underwater” in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Arizona — the very states that handed him victory just two years ago.
But conservative voters know these same pollsters underestimated Trump before. In both 2016 and 2024, the so-called “experts” got it wrong. Could history be repeating itself?
White House Pushes Back Hard
The Trump administration quickly rejected the narrative. White House spokesperson Abigail Jackson told Newsweek:
“President Trump is delivering on his promises and continuing to Make America Great Again — from securing the southern border and reviving American manufacturing, to reining in Biden’s inflation disaster and blocking Democrat schemes to hand out free health care to illegal immigrants. It’s no surprise that more than 57% of Americans now say they approve of the job he’s doing.”
Her message was clear: Don’t trust cherry-picked polls, especially when national numbers tell a very different story.
Why Swing States Are So Critical
These states are political ground zero. If Republicans hold them in 2026, the Trump agenda stays on track. If Democrats claw back even a few, the balance of power in Congress could shift — jeopardizing border security, tax cuts, and America First policies.
For older conservative voters who lived through the Carter-era inflation, high grocery bills, and rising crime, the stakes could not be higher.
The Polling Numbers in Question
Here’s what Morris claims:
- Wisconsin: Trump approval –10, after winning by less than 1%.
- Michigan: Approval –12, though Trump carried it by 1.4%.
- Pennsylvania: Down to –13 despite a 1.7% win.
- Georgia: Approval –11, after winning by 2.2%.
- Nevada: Approval –12, though Trump carried it by 3.1%.
- North Carolina: Approval –9, after winning by 3.2%.
- Arizona: Approval –7, despite a 5.5% win.
But the method behind these numbers? Morris assumed a massive 14-point swing against Trump nationally and applied it state by state. Critics call this “statistical fantasy.”
What’s Really Driving the Debate
Even Democrat-friendly analysts admit economics is the central factor. Inflation, tariffs, and immigration dominate voter concerns. Craig Agranoff, a political marketing professor in Florida, told Newsweek:
“If a president’s approval dips under 50%, his party may face setbacks in the midterms. Economic factors are key, especially inflation and tariffs, which affect younger and lower-income voters.”
But midterms aren’t won on poll numbers — they’re won on turnout. And Trump’s base of older conservatives, rural voters, and independents who want the border secured has not gone anywhere.
The Bottom Line for Conservatives
Democrats are hoping bad polling will depress Republican confidence. But Trump has shattered polling expectations before — and the energy around his America First movement is stronger than ever.
The question isn’t whether Democrats want to flip swing states. It’s whether they can overcome Trump’s energized base, conservative turnout, and the growing backlash against Biden-era policies.
What’s Next?
The 2026 midterms are shaping up to be one of the most consequential elections in modern history. If Trump’s GOP holds the line, it could secure America’s direction for years to come. If Democrats seize ground, they could stall the Trump agenda in Congress.
One thing is certain: the fight for the future of America will run right through these seven swing states.Trump is keeping his promises and Making