President Donald Trump remains the most influential figure in the Republican Party, but a high-profile Senate primary in Alabama is showing that even his endorsement does not automatically guarantee victory.
A new poll released just before Election Day shows Congressman Barry Moore trailing former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson in the race for Alabama’s open U.S. Senate seat.
The outcome could become one of the most closely watched indicators of Republican momentum heading into the 2026 midterm elections.
Why the Alabama Senate Race Matters
This Senate seat is open because Tommy Tuberville is running for governor instead of seeking reelection.
With Alabama being one of the most conservative states in America, the Republican primary winner is widely expected to become the next U.S. senator.
That makes this contest a major battleground for conservative voters and a key test of the strength of President Trump’s endorsement.
New Poll Shows Jared Hudson in the Lead
A Quantus Insights survey of 680 likely Republican primary voters found the following results:
Latest Alabama Republican Primary Poll
- Jared Hudson: 36%
- Barry Moore: 27%
- Steve Marshall: 13.5%
- Undecided: 18%
The survey was conducted May 15–17 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
The large number of undecided voters suggests the race remains highly competitive and could shift dramatically.
President Trump Strongly Backs Barry Moore
President Trump has made it clear that he stands firmly behind Barry Moore.
In a Truth Social video message, Trump reminded voters that Moore was one of his earliest supporters.
“Congressman Barry Moore was the first person in the whole country to endorse me.”
Trump praised Moore as a dependable America First conservative, adding:
“He will never let you down.”
For many Alabama Republicans, Trump’s endorsement remains a powerful signal of trust and loyalty.
Who Is Barry Moore?
Barry Moore has served in Congress since 2021 and has built a reputation as a staunch conservative.
He is known for supporting:
- Strong border security
- Lower taxes
- Second Amendment rights
- Pro-life policies
- President Trump’s America First agenda
Moore has consistently aligned himself with the MAGA movement and remains a favorite among grassroots conservatives.
Who Is Jared Hudson?
Jared Hudson is a decorated former Navy SEAL and combat veteran.
He has centered his campaign on:
- National security
- Border enforcement
- Military strength
- Conservative family values
Hudson’s military background and outsider message have helped him gain traction with voters seeking a fresh face in Washington.
Steve Marshall Remains in the Race
Attorney General Steve Marshall continues to draw support from conservative voters across Alabama.
As the state’s top law enforcement officer, Marshall has built a record focused on:
- Fighting federal overreach
- Defending constitutional rights
- Challenging Biden-era policies
- Supporting law and order
Although he trails in the latest poll, his support could be critical if the race moves to a runoff.
Runoff Election Appears Likely
Under Alabama law, a candidate must receive more than 50 percent of the vote to win outright.
With three major candidates dividing the vote, political observers believe a runoff is almost certain.
That means the top two candidates would face each other in a second election, giving conservative voters another opportunity to decide who best represents Alabama.
Earlier Polls Showed a Much Closer Race
Previous polling indicated that Moore held a slight advantage.
- A Cygnal poll showed Moore narrowly ahead.
- A Tarrance Group survey found all three candidates within striking distance.
These mixed results suggest that turnout and last-minute decisions could determine the final outcome.
Conservative Voters Hold the Deciding Power
Alabama has been one of President Trump’s strongest states.
In the 2024 election, Trump won nearly 65 percent of the vote, underscoring his deep popularity among Republican voters.
While this race does not diminish Trump’s leadership, it highlights the importance of local issues, candidate quality, and grassroots organization.
Other Important Primaries Taking Place Today
Voters are also casting ballots in:
- Georgia
- Idaho
- Kentucky
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
These contests will shape the political landscape ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Final Thoughts
President Trump remains the undisputed leader of the Republican Party, but Alabama’s Senate race proves that every election must be earned.
Whether Barry Moore stages a comeback or Jared Hudson maintains his lead, conservative voters in Alabama are sending a clear message about the future of the GOP.
With control of the Senate and the success of the America First movement on the line, this is one race conservatives across the nation will be watching closely.